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Thursday, May 24 2012 3PM  23°C 6PM 21°C 5-Day Forecast

Hotter summers 'may kill 5,900 every year', warns first national risk assessment of climate change

By Mail On Sunday Reporter
UPDATED: 02:27, 29 January 2012


Britain’s first national risk assessment of climate change has warned there will be major increases in flooding, heatwaves and water shortages that could kill thousands of people a year.

The Government-funded research called said annual flood damage will cost the UK up to £12 billion by the 2080s if nothing is done to adapt to extreme weather.

British summers will get hotter while winters will be milder and wetter, according to the £2.8 million report. It warned the hotter summers could result in up to 5,900 extra deaths a year by 2050.

[i-Flooding could become a more common sight in the UK and could cost the government billions if they don't prepare]

Flooding could become a more common sight in the UK and could cost the government billions if they don't prepare

The 2,000-page report said more intense and longer rainfall would cause more flood damage to infrastructure and property. It added that insurance payouts and premiums would rise significantly.

Professor Sir Bob Watson, chief scientific adviser to the Department for Environment, Food and Rural Affairs, said: ‘The flooding issue is dominant.

 

‘Cold spells will not disappear, although there will hopefully be less of them.’

However, authors admit to uncertainties within their computer models, writing: ‘We do not know how fast greenhouse gas emissions will rise, how great the cooling effects are of other pollutants or how quickly ice caps may melt.’

[i-British summers will get hotter while winters will be milder and wetter, according to the £2.8¿million report]

British summers will get hotter while winters will be milder and wetter, according to the £2.8¿million report


 

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Typo correction. The HADCRUT 3GL should have read: 'minus' 0.0026 C/year!

- Flink., N. Wales., 31/1/2012 00:21

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Remember, in 2010 UK had its coldest December for 120 years. Most Global mean temperature anomaly data sets show recent dropping anomalies in 2010....The HADCRUT 3GL .Global Temperature Anomaly' has been flat now for ten years in a row and is now actually decreasing..... Here is the actual data that the likes of Zed put so much faith in:..... HADCRUT 3GL – 0.0026 C/year------RSS: + 0.0034 C/ year----------GISS: + 0.0080 C/year------UAH: +0.0093 C/year= A Composite of + 0.0044 C/year No normal person can detect 4,000th of a degree C change per year and measure it over the whole globe? This is how ridiculous the global warming alarmism has become!

- Flink., N. Wales., 31/1/2012 00:17

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The science of climate change is getting very exacting, so much so, a very precise 5900 are going to die by 2050. I can confidently predict that in a hundred years or so, everyone living on the planet today, including many not yet born, will also be dead. It's a natural process.

- Brianofthecam, Cambridge UK, 30/1/2012 23:12

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Sir Bob Watson, chief scientific adviser to D E F R A, said: ‘Cold spells will not disappear, although there will hopefully be less of them.’However, they admit to uncertainties within their computer models,‘We do not know how fast greenhouse gas emissions will rise, how great the cooling effects are of other pollutants or how quickly ice caps may melt.’--- So, reading between the lines, they haven't got a bl**dy clue. AND of course, we've had to pay for this £2.8 million worth of nonsense!

- Flink., N. Wales., 30/1/2012 22:30

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WHAT hot summers? I see we are still perpetrating the Climate Change myth (sorry, I mean 'excuse for yet more taxes') despite that fact that overall global temperatures haven't increased for the last 15 years

- martin, cheshire, UK, 30/1/2012 17:53

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Wait...I though yesterday we were told that the earth has warmed since 1997

- sirsimon, bridgend, wales, 30/1/2012 13:47

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"Hotter summers 'may kill 5,900 every year', warns first national risk assessment of climate change" ----- Well, to be honest, I'd rather have a hot summer than a cold winter! - According to the Age UK organisation: "The latest figures show that last winter (2010-11) there were almost 22,000 additional deaths among people over the age of 65 in England and Wales." ! - So it looks like cold winters are worse than hot summers for, pardon the expression, 'killing people off'!

- D Aftasa, Brush. UK, 30/1/2012 12:31

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First we get the Cycle 25 cooling prediction and now this hot summers and milder winters one? No doubt both are the resut of computer models. Having been active in the IT industry for over 30 years I would question the legitimacy of these 'results' being programmed to suit the leanings of the 'scientists' involved. Research grants and other financial incentives can be a far greater attraction than plain fact. Here's my prediction based on common sense and observation - the climate will stay much the same and overall get slightly cooler. - John, Perthshire, 29/1/2012 12:55 ------------------- On what grounds do you 'question the legitimacy' of the models? Why did you state that you have worked in IT for 30 years? How is that relevant?

- George, Durham, 30/1/2012 12:15

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Err... hasn't the trend of rising temperatures ended a decade ago? - marcus Junius Brutus, Trouble Ahead, 30/1/2012 1:34 -------------------- It depends how selective you are with your time periods. You can pick a number of short spells in the last 100 years or so where the temperature flatlined or reduced. But you have to look at the graph as a whole, not just the bits that suit your argument.

- George, Durham, 30/1/2012 11:56

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No doubt Camoron and the rest of his CONservative cronies will be hoping the forecast of the number of deaths is actually heavily underestimated. - Ian, Spain, 29/1/2012 21:57 --------------------- Yes, thats right. The Conservative Party are so evil, they actually want people to die. Grow up.

- George, Durham, 30/1/2012 11:34

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